COL
5–1
NJD
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 34-24-2
5–1
FinalW
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 32-22-6
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
111013413537
NJD
0701016123
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–0
COL 34-24-2 · NJD 32-22-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–0
Avalanche beat the Devils
The Avalanche earned it: 3.6 expected goals to 2.3, and a 5–1 win to show for it. Jake Allen allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.3, on 37 and 23 shots on goal.
COL 3.6 xG · 37 shots
NJD 2.3 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.6 · 1.0
2nd
0.9 · 0.8
3rd
1.1 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 08:54 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 02:57 · 2–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
3
Jack Hughes · 3rd 08:28 · 2–1 · slap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 14:14 · 3–1 · bat shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 16:40 · 4–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Logan O'Connor · 3rd 18:18 · 5–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 70.
COL 70%NJD 30%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Devils shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 08:54 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 02:57 · PP · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (18%)
3
Jack Hughes · 3rd 08:28 · 2–1
Slap shot, a good chance (13%)
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 14:14 · PP · 3–1
Bat shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Casey Mittelstadt · 3rd 16:40 · 4–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Logan O'Connor · 3rd 18:18 · 5–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
22/23 saves · 1 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
32/37 saves · 5 GA · 3.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
