COL
5–2
MIN
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 35-24-2
5–2
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 34-22-4
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
11531213530
MIN
2100406220
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–1
COL 35-24-2 · MIN 34-22-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–1
Avalanche beat the Wild
The Avalanche earned it: 2.9 expected goals to 2.3, and a 5–2 win to show for it. Filip Gustavsson allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 2.9 expected goals to 2.3, on 30 and 20 shots on goal.
COL 2.9 xG · 30 shots
MIN 2.3 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.3 · 1.2
2nd · the swing
1.5 · 0.3
3rd
0.1 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mats Zuccarello · 1st 04:14 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 13:58 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Vinnie Hinostroza · 1st 17:42 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Jonathan Drouin · 2nd 08:57 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Jack Drury · 2nd 09:49 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Ross Colton · 2nd 14:39 · 4–2 · snap shot, a great chance (29%)
7
Ross Colton · 3rd 19:52 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 60.
COL 60%MIN 40%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Wild shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mats Zuccarello · 1st 04:14 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 13:58 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
3
Vinnie Hinostroza · 1st 17:42 · PP · 1–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Jonathan Drouin · 2nd 08:57 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
5
Jack Drury · 2nd 09:49 · GWG · 3–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Ross Colton · 2nd 14:39 · 4–2
Snap shot, a great chance (29%)
7
Ross Colton · 3rd 19:52 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
18/20 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
25/29 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
