Colorado Avalanche
COL · 37-24-2
7–3
FinalW
San Jose Sharks
SJS · 17-38-9
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
31321326732
SJS
1906219334
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 3–0
COL 37-24-2 · SJS 17-38-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 3–0
Avalanche beat the Sharks
The Avalanche earned it: 5.2 expected goals to 3.0, and a 7–3 win to show for it. Alexandar Georgiev allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 5.2 expected goals to 3.0, on 32 and 34 shots on goal.
COL 5.2 xG · 32 shots
SJS 3.0 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.7 · 1.3
2nd · the swing
2.5 · 0.2
3rd
0.9 · 1.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Joel Kiviranta · 1st 04:19 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Cale Makar · 1st 06:43 · 2–0 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Fabian Zetterlund · 1st 10:08 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (44%)
4
Jonathan Drouin · 1st 19:57 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Martin Necas · 2nd 00:40 · 4–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 10:54 · 5–1 · snap shot, a great chance (35%)
7
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 05:21 · 6–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (60%)
8
Macklin Celebrini · 3rd 08:10 · 6–2 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
9
Cale Makar · 3rd 09:00 · 7–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
10
William Eklund · 3rd 17:24 · 7–3 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 77.
COL 77%SJS 23%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Joel Kiviranta · 1st 04:19 · SH · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Cale Makar · 1st 06:43 · PP · 2–0
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Fabian Zetterlund · 1st 10:08 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (44%)
4
Jonathan Drouin · 1st 19:57 · PP · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (18%)
5
Martin Necas · 2nd 00:40 · PP · GWG · 4–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 10:54 · 5–1
Snap shot, a great chance (35%)
7
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 05:21 · 6–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (60%)
8
Macklin Celebrini · 3rd 08:10 · PP · 6–2
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
9
Cale Makar · 3rd 09:00 · 7–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
10
William Eklund · 3rd 17:24 · 7–3
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (25%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
25/32 saves · 7 GA · 5.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.