COL
5–2
DET
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 44-25-3
5–2
FinalW
Detroit Red Wings
DET · 33-32-6
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
2911128528
DET
180817223
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–0
COL 44-25-3 · DET 33-32-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–0
Avalanche beat the Red Wings
Chances were even (2.5 to 2.9 expected goals); the Avalanche won 5–2. Alex Lyon allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.5 expected goals to 2.9, on 28 and 23 shots on goal.
COL 2.5 xG · 28 shots
DET 2.9 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.7 · 0.8
2nd
0.9 · 1.1
3rd
0.9 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
J.T. Compher · 1st 06:00 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Cale Makar · 1st 06:44 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 12:52 · 2–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
4
Devon Toews · 2nd 04:39 · 3–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 08:34 · 4–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
· 3rd 16:53 · 4–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (42%)
7
Logan O'Connor · 3rd 17:56 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 44.
COL 44%DET 56%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Red Wings shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
J.T. Compher · 1st 06:00 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
2
Cale Makar · 1st 06:44 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
3
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 12:52 · 2–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
4
Devon Toews · 2nd 04:39 · PP · GWG · 3–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 08:34 · PP · 4–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
· 3rd 16:53 · 4–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (42%)
7
Logan O'Connor · 3rd 17:56 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
23/27 saves · 4 GA · 2.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
