Colorado Avalanche
COL · 45-26-4
2–3
Final / SOL
Calgary Flames
CGY · 35-26-12
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
COL
11011105040230
CGY
0606211041327
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–1
COL 45-26-4 · CGY 35-26-12 · Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–1
Avalanche fell to the Flames
The Avalanche let a 2–0 lead get away: the Flames came back with two unanswered goals — Klapka's equalizer — and won it in a shootout. Dan Vladar stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.4, on 30 and 27 shots on goal.
COL 3.1 xG · 30 shots
CGY 2.4 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
1.5 · 0.4
3rd
0.7 · 0.9
OT
0.5 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Cale Makar · 1st 16:31 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Logan O'Connor · 2nd 07:59 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Ryan Lomberg · 3rd 10:57 · 2–1 · poke shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
4
Adam Klapka · 3rd 11:29 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 62.
COL 62%CGY 38%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Cale Makar · 1st 16:31 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Logan O'Connor · 2nd 07:59 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Ryan Lomberg · 3rd 10:57 · 2–1
Poke shot on a rebound, a good chance (10%)
4
Adam Klapka · 3rd 11:29 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Flames
Goaltending
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
28/30 saves · 2 GA · 3.1 xGA
Stopped 1.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.