Colorado Avalanche
COL · 48-27-4
3–2
Final / SOW
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 47-22-9
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
COL
0821906031336
VGK
181406030221
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–1
COL 48-27-4 · VGK 47-22-9 · Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–1
Avalanche beat the Golden Knights
Down 0–2 in the 2nd period, the Avalanche erased the deficit with two unanswered goals — Vesey's equalizer — and won it in a shootout. Akira Schmid stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.1, on 36 and 21 shots on goal.
COL 3.9 xG · 36 shots
VGK 2.1 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.6 · 0.4
2nd · the swing
2.0 · 0.7
3rd
0.7 · 0.5
OT
0.5 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
William Karlsson · 1st 11:10 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Brayden McNabb · 2nd 00:40 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 09:46 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (42%)
4
Jimmy Vesey · 2nd 17:08 · 2–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (49%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 77.
COL 77%VGK 23%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
William Karlsson · 1st 11:10 · SH · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Brayden McNabb · 2nd 00:40 · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3
Valeri Nichushkin · 2nd 09:46 · PP · 1–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (42%)
4
Jimmy Vesey · 2nd 17:08 · 2–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (49%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No goals or penalties.
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Avalanche
Goaltending
19/21 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
34/36 saves · 2 GA · 3.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.