COL
1–2
DAL
Final / OT · L
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 1-2
1–2
Final / OTL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 2-1
1ST2ND3RDOTT
COL
150801203128
DAL
014041713228
goals · shots on goal
Game 3 — the Avalanche trail the series 1–2
COL 1-2 · DAL 2-1 · Game 3 — the Avalanche trail the series 1–2
Avalanche fell to the Stars
The Avalanche created the better chances (3.4 to 2.3 expected goals) — and lost it in overtime on Seguin's goal. Jake Oettinger stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 2.3, on 28 and 28 shots on goal.
COL 3.4 xG · 28 shots
DAL 2.3 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.5 · 0.7
2nd
1.1 · 0.8
3rd
1.2 · 0.6
OT
0.7 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 08:09 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Jamie Benn · 3rd 09:18 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Tyler Seguin · OT 05:31 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 67.
COL 67%DAL 33%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 08:09 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Jamie Benn · 3rd 09:18 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Tyler Seguin · OT 05:31 · GWG · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 2.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/28 saves · 1 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 2.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
