Colorado Avalanche
COL · 2-2
4–0
FinalW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 2-2
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
212122114448
DAL
0110507023
goals · shots on goal
Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
COL 2-2 · DAL 2-2 · Game 4 — the series is tied 2–2
Avalanche beat the Stars
The Avalanche earned it: 4.6 expected goals to 2.3, and a 4–0 win to show for it. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 4.6 expected goals to 2.3, on 48 and 23 shots on goal.
COL 4.6 xG · 48 shots
DAL 2.3 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.5 · 1.1
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 0.2
3rd
1.3 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Logan O'Connor · 1st 12:39 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 19:36 · 2–0 · slap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Gabriel Landeskog · 2nd 13:10 · 3–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Samuel Girard · 3rd 10:46 · 4–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 81.
COL 81%DAL 19%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Logan O'Connor · 1st 12:39 · SH · GWG · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 19:36 · PP · 2–0
Slap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Gabriel Landeskog · 2nd 13:10 · 3–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Samuel Girard · 3rd 10:46 · 4–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1st period
1
Unassisted · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
23/23 saves · 0 GA · 2.3 xGA
Stopped 2.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
31/34 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.