COL
7–4
DAL
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 3-3
7–4
FinalW
Dallas Stars
DAL · 3-3
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
219116413748
DAL
0104907426
goals · shots on goal
Game 6 — the series is tied 3–3
COL 3-3 · DAL 3-3 · Game 6 — the series is tied 3–3
Avalanche beat the Stars
The Avalanche earned it: 4.1 expected goals to 2.3, and a 7–4 win to show for it. Mackenzie Blackwood allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 2.3, on 48 and 26 shots on goal.
COL 4.1 xG · 48 shots
DAL 2.3 xG · 26 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.2 · 0.3
2nd
1.7 · 1.6
3rd
1.1 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 06:29 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 18:40 · 2–0 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Roope Hintz · 2nd 01:18 · 2–1 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Mikael Granlund · 2nd 03:41 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Martin Necas · 2nd 04:34 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Roope Hintz · 2nd 07:51 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 18:35 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 06:02 · 4–4 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
9
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 09:04 · 5–4 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
10
Josh Manson · 3rd 18:44 · 6–4 · snap shot, into an empty net
11
Cale Makar · 3rd 19:03 · 7–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 76.
COL 76%DAL 24%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 06:29 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 18:40 · 2–0
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Roope Hintz · 2nd 01:18 · PP · 2–1
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
4
Mikael Granlund · 2nd 03:41 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
5
Martin Necas · 2nd 04:34 · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
6
Roope Hintz · 2nd 07:51 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Mikko Rantanen · 2nd 18:35 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 06:02 · 4–4
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (20%)
9
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 09:04 · GWG · 5–4
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
10
Josh Manson · 3rd 18:44 · EN · 6–4
Snap shot, into an empty net
11
Cale Makar · 3rd 19:03 · EN · 7–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
9
Unassisted · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5–4
No penalties
Goaltending
22/26 saves · 4 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
41/46 saves · 5 GA · 4.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
