Colorado Avalanche
COL · 2-0-0
2–1
FinalW
Utah Mammoth
UTA · 0-1-0
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
1140419227
UTA
011111011133
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
COL 2-0-0 · UTA 0-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Mammoth
Chances were even (2.4 to 2.4 expected goals); the Avalanche won 2–1. Scott Wedgewood stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.4 expected goals to 2.4, on 27 and 33 shots on goal.
COL 2.4 xG · 27 shots
UTA 2.4 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.1 · 0.4
2nd
0.5 · 0.9
3rd
0.8 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ross Colton · 1st 10:57 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Dylan Guenther · 2nd 17:48 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 02:52 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 49.
COL 49%UTA 51%
Goals and penalties
3 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ross Colton · 1st 10:57 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
2
Dylan Guenther · 2nd 17:48 · PP · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 02:52 · PP · GWG · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
32/33 saves · 1 GA · 2.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.