COL
4–5
DAL
Final / SO · L
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 2-0-1
4–5
Final / SOL
Dallas Stars
DAL · 2-0-0
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
COL
01428216010439
DAL
1526111001522
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
COL 2-0-1 · DAL 2-0-0 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
Avalanche fell to the Stars
The Avalanche created the better chances (3.9 to 2.4 expected goals) — and lost it in a shootout. Scott Wedgewood allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 2.4, on 39 and 22 shots on goal.
COL 3.9 xG · 39 shots
DAL 2.4 xG · 22 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 0.6
2nd
0.8 · 0.9
3rd
1.6 · 0.9
OT
0.2 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Thomas Harley · 1st 18:51 · 0–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Martin Necas · 2nd 03:54 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Gavin Brindley · 2nd 10:07 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
4
Nathan Bastian · 2nd 15:22 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (46%)
5
Jason Robertson · 2nd 18:25 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 00:34 · 3–3 · snap shot, a great chance (26%)
7
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 01:58 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 10:46 · 4–4 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 71.
COL 71%DAL 29%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 8 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Stars shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Thomas Harley · 1st 18:51 · 0–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Martin Necas · 2nd 03:54 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Gavin Brindley · 2nd 10:07 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
4
Nathan Bastian · 2nd 15:22 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (46%)
5
Jason Robertson · 2nd 18:25 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 00:34 · 3–3
Snap shot, a great chance (26%)
7
Wyatt Johnston · 3rd 01:58 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a great chance (30%)
8
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 10:46 · PP · 4–4
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:19
Lian Bichsel· Hooking
Lian Bichsel· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:40
Josh Manson· High-sticking
Josh Manson· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:22
Thomas Harley· Cross-checking
Thomas Harley· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:15
Mikko Rantanen· High-sticking
Mikko Rantanen· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
04:41
Justin Hryckowian· Fighting
Justin Hryckowian· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
04:41
Ross Colton· Fighting
Ross Colton· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:13
Cale Makar· Tripping
Cale Makar· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
4 min
Double minor
07:38
Ilya Lyubushkin· High-sticking
Ilya Lyubushkin· High-sticking
MacKinnon scored on this power play
Double minor
8
Martin Necas, Brent Burns · Power play (Lyubushkin, high-sticking) · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
4–4
Shootout
1
Jason Robertson
Goal
Jason Robertson
Goal2
Victor Olofsson
Save
Victor Olofsson
Save3
Matt Duchene
Save
Matt Duchene
Save4
Valeri Nichushkin
Goal
Valeri Nichushkin
Goal5
Mikko Rantanen
Goal
Mikko Rantanen
Goal6
Nathan MacKinnon
Save
Nathan MacKinnon
Save
Goaltending
18/22 saves · 4 GA · 2.4 xGA
Allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
35/39 saves · 4 GA · 3.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Avalanche went 1-for-4 on the power play and killed all 2 Stars power plays.