Colorado Avalanche
COL · 5-0-3
4–5
Final / SOL
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 6-1-0
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
COL
118116211030448
CAR
41205012021531
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
COL 5-0-3 · CAR 6-1-0 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
Avalanche fell to the Hurricanes
The Avalanche created the better chances (4.9 to 2.7 expected goals) — and lost it in a shootout. Scott Wedgewood allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 4.9 expected goals to 2.7, on 48 and 31 shots on goal.
COL 4.9 xG · 48 shots
CAR 2.7 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.7 · 1.3
2nd · the swing
1.5 · 0.1
3rd
1.3 · 0.7
OT
0.4 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Eric Robinson · 1st 03:07 · 0–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 04:04 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a great chance (37%)
3
Seth Jarvis · 1st 07:17 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Sebastian Aho · 1st 12:41 · 1–3 · deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
5
Logan Stankoven · 1st 13:40 · 1–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Parker Kelly · 2nd 04:46 · 2–4 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Martin Necas · 3rd 04:45 · 3–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 14:09 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 78.
COL 78%CAR 22%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 17 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Eric Robinson · 1st 03:07 · 0–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 04:04 · 1–1
Backhand shot, a great chance (37%)
3
Seth Jarvis · 1st 07:17 · SH · 1–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (27%)
4
Sebastian Aho · 1st 12:41 · 1–3
Deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
5
Logan Stankoven · 1st 13:40 · 1–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Parker Kelly · 2nd 04:46 · 2–4
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
7
Martin Necas · 3rd 04:45 · 3–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 14:09 · PP · 4–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:50
Charles Alexis Legault· Roughing
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:58
Alexander Nikishin· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
04:46
Bench· Delaying game unsuccessful challenge
Killed
Bench minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:15
Taylor Hall· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:33
Brock Nelson· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:39
Charles Alexis Legault· Interference
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:36
Martin Necas· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:01
Sam Malinski· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:44
Logan Stankoven· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
7
Artturi Lehkonen, Nathan MacKinnon · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
3–4
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:14
Parker Kelly· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:14
Taylor Hall· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:59
Jalen Chatfield· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:18
Sebastian Aho· Interference
Nichushkin scored on this power play
Minor
8
Victor Olofsson, Cale Makar · Power play (Aho, interference) · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
4–4
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:01
Valeri Nichushkin· Holding the stick
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:45
Jack Drury· Holding
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:45
Sean Walker· Holding
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:13
Brock Nelson· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
Shootout
1
Seth Jarvis
Goal
2
Valeri Nichushkin
Save
3
Andrei Svechnikov
Miss
4
Martin Necas
Save
5
Jackson Blake
Save
6
Artturi Lehkonen
Save
Goaltending
20/20 saves · 0 GA · 1.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
7/11 saves · 4 GA · 1.3 xGA
Allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Avalanche went 1-for-8 on the power play and killed all 5 Hurricanes power plays.