Colorado Avalanche
COL · 6-1-4
8–4
FinalW
New Jersey Devils
NJD · 8-2-0
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
212417213842
NJD
01641103430
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
COL 6-1-4 · NJD 8-2-0 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Avalanche beat the Devils
The Avalanche earned it: 3.8 expected goals to 2.8, and a 8–4 win to show for it. Jacob Markstrom allowed 4.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.8, on 42 and 30 shots on goal.
COL 3.8 xG · 42 shots
NJD 2.8 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.8 · 0.9
2nd
1.8 · 1.4
3rd
1.2 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Martin Necas · 1st 01:24 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Zakhar Bardakov · 1st 03:49 · 2–0 · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 02:31 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 07:11 · 4–0 · slap shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Parker Kelly · 2nd 08:39 · 5–0 · backhand shot, a great chance (29%)
6
Stefan Noesen · 2nd 10:08 · 5–1 · snap shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Dougie Hamilton · 2nd 11:48 · 5–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Dawson Mercer · 2nd 13:42 · 5–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
9
Jack Hughes · 2nd 14:12 · 5–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
10
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 15:24 · 6–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
11
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 03:10 · 7–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
12
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 17:38 · 8–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 65.
COL 65%NJD 35%
Goals and penalties
12 goals · 8 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Martin Necas · 1st 01:24 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2
Zakhar Bardakov · 1st 03:49 · 2–0
Wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 02:31 · 3–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 07:11 · PP · 4–0
Slap shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Parker Kelly · 2nd 08:39 · GWG · 5–0
Backhand shot, a great chance (29%)
6
Stefan Noesen · 2nd 10:08 · 5–1
Snap shot, a good chance (17%)
7
Dougie Hamilton · 2nd 11:48 · 5–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
8
Dawson Mercer · 2nd 13:42 · 5–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
9
Jack Hughes · 2nd 14:12 · 5–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
10
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 15:24 · PP · 6–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
11
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 03:10 · PP · 7–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
12
Victor Olofsson · 3rd 17:38 · 8–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:18
Jacob Markstrom· Delaying game puck over glass
Necas scored on this power play
Minor
1
Cale Makar, Valeri Nichushkin · Power play (Markstrom, delaying game puck over glass) · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–0
2
Parker Kelly, Gavin Brindley · wrist shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
2–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:33
Jonas Siegenthaler· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:11
Martin Necas· Hooking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:02
Stefan Noesen· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:13
Dougie Hamilton· Tripping
MacKinnon scored on this power play
Minor
4
Cale Makar, Victor Olofsson · Power play (Hamilton, tripping) · slap shot, a good chance (19%)
4–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:54
Timo Meier· Tripping
MacKinnon scored on this power play
Minor
10
Cale Makar, Victor Olofsson · Power play (Meier, tripping) · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6–4
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:01
Josh Manson· Slashing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:33
Luke Glendening· Slashing
Olofsson scored on this power play
Minor
11
Nathan MacKinnon, Cale Makar · Power play (Glendening, slashing) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7–4
Goaltending
26/30 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
34/42 saves · 8 GA · 3.8 xGA
Allowed 4.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Avalanche went 4-for-6 on the power play and killed all 2 Devils power plays.