Colorado Avalanche
COL · 8-1-5
3–2
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 6-5-2
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
11021409333
TBL
190718224
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
COL 8-1-5 · TBL 6-5-2 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Lightning
The Avalanche earned it: 3.3 expected goals to 2.0, and a 3–2 win to show for it. The Avalanche owned the 2nd period, 1.6 to 0.4 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 2.0, on 33 and 24 shots on goal.
COL 3.3 xG · 33 shots
TBL 2.0 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
1.6 · 0.4
3rd
1.0 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 01:37 · 0–1 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Victor Olofsson · 1st 13:51 · 1–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 04:08 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Ross Colton · 2nd 05:21 · 3–1 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Brayden Point · 3rd 03:32 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 71.
COL 71%TBL 29%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 9 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nikita Kucherov · 1st 01:37 · 0–1
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Victor Olofsson · 1st 13:51 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 04:08 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (11%)
4
Ross Colton · 2nd 05:21 · GWG · 3–1
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Brayden Point · 3rd 03:32 · 3–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1st period
1
Unassisted · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
0–1
PEN
5 min
Major
05:43
Charle-Edouard D'Astous· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
05:43
Gabriel Landeskog· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:47
Pontus Holmberg· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
13:34
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Olofsson scored on this power play
Bench minor
2
Nathan MacKinnon, Martin Necas · Power play (too many men on the ice) · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
1–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:34
Victor Olofsson· Tripping
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:21
Josh Manson· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:59
Victor Hedman· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:21
Brock Nelson· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
5
Charle-Edouard D'Astous, Victor Hedman · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:26
Zemgus Girgensons· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 2.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/33 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Avalanche went 1-for-4 on the power play and killed all 3 Lightning power plays.