Colorado Avalanche
COL · 11-1-5
4–1
FinalW
Anaheim Ducks
ANA · 11-4-1
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
112111213436
ANA
11207017136
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
COL 11-1-5 · ANA 11-4-1 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Ducks
Chances were even (3.3 to 2.9 expected goals); the Avalanche won 4–1. Scott Wedgewood stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.3 expected goals to 2.9, on 36 and 36 shots on goal.
COL 3.3 xG · 36 shots
ANA 2.9 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.4 · 1.1
2nd
1.1 · 0.5
3rd
0.8 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 00:28 · 1–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Leo Carlsson · 1st 18:16 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Gabriel Landeskog · 2nd 11:37 · 2–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
4
Martin Necas · 3rd 07:02 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Parker Kelly · 3rd 17:39 · 4–1 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 56.
COL 56%ANA 44%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 8 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 00:28 · 1–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Leo Carlsson · 1st 18:16 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
3
Gabriel Landeskog · 2nd 11:37 · GWG · 2–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (16%)
4
Martin Necas · 3rd 07:02 · PP · 3–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
5
Parker Kelly · 3rd 17:39 · EN · 4–1
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:23
Artturi Lehkonen· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:23
Ian Moore· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:51
Jack Drury· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:51
Olen Zellweger· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:31
Jackson LaCombe· Interference goalkeeper
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:47
Ian Moore· Delaying game puck over glass
Necas scored on this power play
Minor
4
Artturi Lehkonen, Nathan MacKinnon · Power play (Moore, delaying game puck over glass) · tip in shot, a good chance (12%)
3–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:36
Jacob Trouba· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:21
Martin Necas· Roughing
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
35/36 saves · 1 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 3.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Avalanche went 1-for-4 on the power play and killed all 2 Ducks power plays.