Colorado Avalanche
COL · 12-1-5
6–3
FinalW
Buffalo Sabres
BUF · 5-8-4
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
36112216634
BUF
261807321
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–0
COL 12-1-5 · BUF 5-8-4 · Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–0
Avalanche beat the Sabres
The Avalanche earned it: 3.8 expected goals to 2.9, and a 6–3 win to show for it. Alex Lyon allowed 1.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.9, on 34 and 21 shots on goal.
COL 3.8 xG · 34 shots
BUF 2.9 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 1.2
2nd
1.3 · 1.2
3rd · the swing
1.3 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Martin Necas · 1st 00:52 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 06:10 · 2–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
3
Bowen Byram · 1st 07:47 · 2–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (53%)
4
Brock Nelson · 1st 09:46 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Jordan Greenway · 1st 13:28 · 3–2 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Tage Thompson · 2nd 14:56 · 3–3 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Gavin Brindley · 2nd 16:22 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Martin Necas · 3rd 16:53 · 5–3 · snap shot, a good chance (22%)
9
Gabriel Landeskog · 3rd 18:11 · 6–3 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 63.
COL 63%BUF 37%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 6 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Martin Necas · 1st 00:52 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
2
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 06:10 · 2–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
3
Bowen Byram · 1st 07:47 · 2–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (53%)
4
Brock Nelson · 1st 09:46 · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
5
Jordan Greenway · 1st 13:28 · 3–2
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
6
Tage Thompson · 2nd 14:56 · PP · 3–3
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Gavin Brindley · 2nd 16:22 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
8
Martin Necas · 3rd 16:53 · 5–3
Snap shot, a good chance (22%)
9
Gabriel Landeskog · 3rd 18:11 · EN · 6–3
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
19:07
Bench· Delaying game unsuccessful challenge
Killed
Bench minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:30
Gabriel Landeskog· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:45
Owen Power· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:50
Nathan MacKinnon· Slashing
Thompson scored on this power play
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:01
Tyson Kozak· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:14
Parker Kelly· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
18/21 saves · 3 GA · 2.9 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
27/30 saves · 3 GA · 3.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Avalanche went 0-for-2 on the power play and allowed 1 on 4 Sabres power plays.