Colorado Avalanche
COL · 13-1-5
4–1
FinalW
New York Islanders
NYI · 10-7-2
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
07210211428
NYI
17011011129
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
COL 13-1-5 · NYI 10-7-2 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Islanders
Chances were even (3.0 to 2.9 expected goals); the Avalanche won 4–1. Scott Wedgewood stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 2.9, on 28 and 29 shots on goal.
COL 3.0 xG · 28 shots
NYI 2.9 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.5
2nd
1.2 · 1.2
3rd
0.9 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Emil Heineman · 1st 02:05 · 0–1 · deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Ross Colton · 2nd 04:32 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 05:51 · 2–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Martin Necas · 3rd 19:25 · 3–1 · snap shot, into an empty net
5
Brock Nelson · 3rd 19:44 · 4–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 51.
COL 51%NYI 49%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 9 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Emil Heineman · 1st 02:05 · 0–1
Deflected shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Ross Colton · 2nd 04:32 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 05:51 · GWG · 2–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Martin Necas · 3rd 19:25 · EN · 3–1
Snap shot, into an empty net
5
Brock Nelson · 3rd 19:44 · 4–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:56
Scott Mayfield· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:14
Parker Kelly· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:39
Ryan Pulock· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:06
Cale Makar· Hooking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:40
Gavin Brindley· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:17
Anders Lee· Roughing
Killed
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
06:17
Anders Lee· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
06:17
Josh Manson· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:40
Martin Necas· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 1.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Avalanche went 0-for-2 on the power play and killed all 4 Islanders power plays.