Colorado Avalanche
COL · 14-1-5
6–3
FinalW
New York Rangers
NYR · 10-10-2
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
110114411635
NYR
161419319
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
COL 14-1-5 · NYR 10-10-2 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Rangers
The Avalanche earned it: 3.0 expected goals to 1.5, and a 6–3 win to show for it. Scott Wedgewood allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.0 expected goals to 1.5, on 35 and 19 shots on goal.
COL 3.0 xG · 35 shots
NYR 1.5 xG · 19 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 0.3
2nd · the swing
1.3 · 0.2
3rd
0.7 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
J.T. Miller · 1st 02:26 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 19:33 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Adam Edstrom · 2nd 03:58 · 1–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Cale Makar · 2nd 17:15 · 2–2 · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Brock Nelson · 3rd 02:36 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
J.T. Miller · 3rd 10:18 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 10:48 · 4–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Cale Makar · 3rd 18:35 · 5–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Ross Colton · 3rd 19:47 · 6–3 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 77.
COL 77%NYR 23%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 8 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
J.T. Miller · 1st 02:26 · PP · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 19:33 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Adam Edstrom · 2nd 03:58 · 1–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Cale Makar · 2nd 17:15 · 2–2
Wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
5
Brock Nelson · 3rd 02:36 · PP · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
J.T. Miller · 3rd 10:18 · PP · 3–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 10:48 · GWG · 4–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
8
Cale Makar · 3rd 18:35 · EN · 5–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
9
Ross Colton · 3rd 19:47 · EN · 6–3
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:19
Samuel Girard· Interference
Miller scored on this power play
Minor
1
Mika Zibanejad, Adam Fox · Power play (Girard, interference) · tip in shot, a good chance (16%)
0–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:09
Vincent Trocheck· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:02
Sam Carrick· Interference
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:56
Conor Sheary· Holding
Killed
Minor
4
Martin Necas, Nathan MacKinnon · wrap around shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2–2
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:51
Will Cuylle· Tripping
Nelson scored on this power play
Minor
5
Sam Malinski, Scott Wedgewood · Power play (Cuylle, tripping) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:50
Carson Soucy· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:27
Jack Drury· Tripping
Miller scored on this power play
Minor
6
Adam Fox, Mika Zibanejad · Power play (Drury, tripping) · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3–3
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:06
Jonny Brodzinski· Holding
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
16/19 saves · 3 GA · 1.5 xGA
Allowed 1.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 3.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Avalanche went 1-for-6 on the power play and allowed 2 on 2 Rangers power plays.