Colorado Avalanche
COL · 18-1-6
7–2
FinalW
Montreal Canadiens
MTL · 13-8-3
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
214310212736
MTL
0121516223
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
COL 18-1-6 · MTL 13-8-3 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Canadiens
The Avalanche earned it: 4.4 expected goals to 2.1, and a 7–2 win to show for it. Jakub Dobes allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 2.1, on 36 and 23 shots on goal.
COL 4.4 xG · 36 shots
MTL 2.1 xG · 23 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.4 · 1.2
2nd · the swing
1.6 · 0.6
3rd
1.4 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Brock Nelson · 1st 07:32 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Gabriel Landeskog · 1st 13:25 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (50%)
3
Brent Burns · 2nd 00:50 · 3–0 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Brock Nelson · 2nd 03:55 · 4–0 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Ivan Demidov · 2nd 08:27 · 4–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 19:05 · 5–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
7
Devon Toews · 3rd 02:51 · 6–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Lane Hutson · 3rd 05:10 · 6–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Gabriel Landeskog · 3rd 06:52 · 7–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 81.
COL 81%MTL 19%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 8 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Brock Nelson · 1st 07:32 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
2
Gabriel Landeskog · 1st 13:25 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (50%)
3
Brent Burns · 2nd 00:50 · GWG · 3–0
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Brock Nelson · 2nd 03:55 · 4–0
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Ivan Demidov · 2nd 08:27 · 4–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 19:05 · 5–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
7
Devon Toews · 3rd 02:51 · 6–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
8
Lane Hutson · 3rd 05:10 · PP · 6–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
9
Gabriel Landeskog · 3rd 06:52 · PP · 7–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:50
Brock Nelson· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
13:25
Bench· Delaying game unsuccessful challenge
Killed
Bench minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:04
Oliver Kapanen· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:04
Martin Necas· Holding the stick
Offsetting
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:18
Devon Toews· Slashing
Hutson scored on this power play
Minor
8
Cole Caufield, Nick Suzuki · Power play (Toews, slashing) · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
6–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:45
Jake Evans· High-sticking
Landeskog scored on this power play
Minor
9
Nathan MacKinnon, Martin Necas · Power play (Evans, high-sticking) · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
7–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:22
Josh Anderson· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:07
Josh Anderson· Slashing
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/36 saves · 7 GA · 4.4 xGA
Allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Avalanche went 1-for-4 on the power play and allowed 1 on 2 Canadiens power plays.