Colorado Avalanche
COL · 22-2-7
6–2
FinalW
Florida Panthers
FLA · 15-13-2
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
22031418642
FLA
1120815225
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
COL 22-2-7 · FLA 15-13-2 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Panthers
The Avalanche earned it: 4.0 expected goals to 1.8, and a 6–2 win to show for it. Daniil Tarasov allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 1.8, on 42 and 25 shots on goal.
COL 4.0 xG · 42 shots
FLA 1.8 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.4 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
1.5 · 0.5
3rd
1.2 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sam Malinski · 1st 01:14 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
· 1st 07:21 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Brock Nelson · 1st 18:30 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Gavin Brindley · 2nd 05:05 · 3–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 07:18 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 12:31 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Gabriel Landeskog · 3rd 06:18 · 6–1 · wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
8
Mackie Samoskevich · 3rd 13:08 · 6–2 · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 82.
COL 82%FLA 18%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 6 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sam Malinski · 1st 01:14 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
· 1st 07:21 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Brock Nelson · 1st 18:30 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
4
Gavin Brindley · 2nd 05:05 · GWG · 3–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (15%)
5
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 07:18 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 12:31 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
7
Gabriel Landeskog · 3rd 06:18 · 6–1
Wrist shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
8
Mackie Samoskevich · 3rd 13:08 · 6–2
Snap shot, a great chance (28%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:33
Carter Verhaeghe· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:19
Josh Manson· Hooking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:52
Niko Mikkola· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:52
Mackie Samoskevich· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:47
Gavin Brindley· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
0 min
Penalty shot
14:58
Aaron Ekblad· Ps hooking on breakaway
Penalty shot
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 1.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
36/42 saves · 6 GA · 4.0 xGA
Allowed 2.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Avalanche went 0-for-3 on the power play and killed all 2 Panthers power plays.