Colorado Avalanche
COL · 23-2-7
4–2
FinalW
Nashville Predators
NSH · 12-15-4
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
211115115441
NSH
1801318229
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–1
COL 23-2-7 · NSH 12-15-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–1
Avalanche beat the Predators
The Avalanche earned it: 4.6 expected goals to 2.9, and a 4–2 win to show for it. Justus Annunen stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 4.6 expected goals to 2.9, on 41 and 29 shots on goal.
COL 4.6 xG · 41 shots
NSH 2.9 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.0 · 1.1
2nd
2.0 · 1.3
3rd · the swing
1.7 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 01:26 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Jack Drury · 1st 11:47 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 12:37 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 09:57 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
5
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 16:26 · 4–1 · backhand shot, into an empty net
6
Tyson Jost · 3rd 18:57 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 73.
COL 73%NSH 27%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 7 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 01:26 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
2
Jack Drury · 1st 11:47 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Jonathan Marchessault · 1st 12:37 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 09:57 · EXTRA ATTACKER · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a great chance (26%)
5
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 16:26 · EN · 4–1
Backhand shot, into an empty net
6
Tyson Jost · 3rd 18:57 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:13
Sam Malinski· Roughing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:56
Reid Schaefer· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:34
Valeri Nichushkin· Interference
Marchessault scored on this power play
Minor
3
Ryan O'Reilly, Filip Forsberg · Power play (Nichushkin, interference) · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
2–1
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:59
Sam Malinski· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:00
Tyson Jost· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:39
Tyson Jost· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:12
Roman Josi· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
37/40 saves · 3 GA · 4.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Avalanche went 0-for-4 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Predators power plays.