Colorado Avalanche
COL · 29-2-7
5–2
FinalW
Los Angeles Kings
LAK · 16-13-9
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
1821028526
LAK
01015110225
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–0
COL 29-2-7 · LAK 16-13-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–0
Avalanche beat the Kings
The Avalanche earned it: 2.8 expected goals to 2.2, and a 5–2 win to show for it. Anton Forsberg allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 2.2, on 26 and 25 shots on goal.
COL 2.8 xG · 26 shots
LAK 2.2 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.4 · 0.7
2nd · the swing
1.7 · 0.7
3rd
0.7 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jack Drury · 1st 09:24 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Corey Perry · 2nd 05:15 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (25%)
3
Martin Necas · 2nd 13:21 · 2–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
4
Brock Nelson · 2nd 17:30 · 3–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Joel Armia · 3rd 04:58 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 18:23 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Cale Makar · 3rd 19:15 · 5–2 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 62.
COL 62%LAK 38%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 7 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jack Drury · 1st 09:24 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
2
Corey Perry · 2nd 05:15 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (25%)
3
Martin Necas · 2nd 13:21 · 2–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
4
Brock Nelson · 2nd 17:30 · GWG · 3–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Joel Armia · 3rd 04:58 · SH · 3–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
6
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 18:23 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
7
Cale Makar · 3rd 19:15 · 5–2
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (19%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:43
Andrei Kuzmenko· Interference
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:18
Parker Kelly· Holding
Perry scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:54
Brian Dumoulin· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:58
Ross Colton· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:10
Brandt Clarke· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:44
Brandt Clarke· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:00
Jack Drury· Hooking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
21/25 saves · 4 GA · 2.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Avalanche went 0-for-4 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Kings power plays.