COL
6–1
STL
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 30-2-7
6–1
FinalW
St. Louis Blues
STL · 15-18-8
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
42011419643
STL
040316113
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
COL 30-2-7 · STL 15-18-8 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Blues
The Avalanche earned it: 3.4 expected goals to 1.3, and a 6–1 win to show for it. Jordan Binnington allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.4 expected goals to 1.3, on 43 and 13 shots on goal.
COL 3.4 xG · 43 shots
STL 1.3 xG · 13 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.5 · 0.5
2nd
1.1 · 0.3
3rd
0.8 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 01:00 · 1–0 · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 03:13 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 03:26 · 3–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 04:39 · 4–0 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Brock Nelson · 2nd 09:41 · 5–0 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Dalibor Dvorsky · 3rd 14:32 · 5–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 16:06 · 6–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 84.
COL 84%STL 16%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 6 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 01:00 · 1–0
Wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 03:13 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Valeri Nichushkin · 1st 03:26 · 3–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (22%)
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 04:39 · 4–0
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
5
Brock Nelson · 2nd 09:41 · PP · 5–0
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
6
Dalibor Dvorsky · 3rd 14:32 · 5–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
7
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 16:06 · 6–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (24%)
1st period
1
Artturi Lehkonen, Brock Nelson · wrist shot on a rebound, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1–0
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:16
Jake Neighbours· Tripping
Jake Neighbours· Tripping
Nelson scored on this power play
Minor
5
Cale Makar, Nathan MacKinnon · Power play (Neighbours, tripping) · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
5–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:07
Josh Manson· Tripping
Josh Manson· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:50
Parker Kelly· High-sticking
Parker Kelly· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:32
Justin Faulk· Interference
Justin Faulk· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:51
Jake Neighbours· Tripping
Jake Neighbours· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:52
Zakhar Bardakov· Tripping
Zakhar Bardakov· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
12/13 saves · 1 GA · 1.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
37/43 saves · 6 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 2.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Avalanche went 1-for-3 on the power play and killed all 3 Blues power plays.