COL 8–2 OTT Final · W
Avalanche/Schedule/Recap Thu, Jan 8, 2026 · 2025-26 regular season
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 32-4-7
8–2
FinalW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 20-18-5
1ST2ND3RDT COL 21161706834 OTT 011110110231 goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
COL 32-4-7 · OTT 20-18-5 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0

Avalanche beat the Senators

The Avalanche earned it: 3.1 expected goals to 2.2, and a 8–2 win to show for it. Mads Sogaard allowed 3.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.

Who had the better chances

The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.1 expected goals to 2.2, on 34 and 31 shots on goal.

COL 3.1 xG · 34 shots OTT 2.2 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
3
1st 0.6 · 0.6
2nd · the swing 1.5 · 0.4
3rd 1.0 · 1.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 66.
COL 66%OTT 34%

Goals and penalties

10 goals · 15 penalties
← Avalanche shoot this way Senators shoot this way →
On net Missed Bigger = better chance 1Goal, numbered to the list
1st period
PEN
02:04 Josh Manson· Fighting
Offsetting
5 min
Major
PEN
02:04 Tyler Kleven· Fighting
Offsetting
5 min
Major
1
10:11 Josh Manson
Ross Colton, Brock Nelson · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1–0
2
17:14 Nathan MacKinnon
Martin Necas, Sam Malinski · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2–0
PEN
18:32 Samuel Girard· Tripping
Killed
2 min
Minor
2nd period
PEN
00:19 Josh Manson· Interference
Killed
2 min
Minor
3
02:35 Cale Makar GWG
Nathan MacKinnon, Josh Manson · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
3–0
4
05:08 Shane Pinto
Claude Giroux, Jake Sanderson · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
3–1
PEN
11:02 Michael Amadio· Hooking
Necas scored on this power play
2 min
Minor
5
11:46 Martin Necas PP
Nathan MacKinnon, Cale Makar · Power play (Amadio, hooking) · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
4–1
6
12:03 Brent Burns
Josh Manson, Ross Colton · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5–1
PEN
13:43 Brady Tkachuk· High-sticking
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
13:52 Shane Pinto· High-sticking
Nelson scored on this power play
2 min
Minor
7
14:23 Brock Nelson PP
Nathan MacKinnon, Cale Makar · Power play (Pinto, high-sticking) · slap shot, a good chance (21%)
6–1
8
16:48 Josh Manson
Jack Drury, Zakhar Bardakov · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
7–1
9
18:04 Brock Nelson
Ilya Solovyov, Ross Colton · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
8–1
3rd period
PEN
03:04 Samuel Girard· Roughing
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
03:04 Samuel Girard· Fighting
Offsetting
5 min
Major
PEN
03:04 Tim Stützle· Fighting
Offsetting
5 min
Major
PEN
05:55 Shane Pinto· Roughing
Killed
2 min
Minor
10
07:03 Brady Tkachuk SH
Tyler Kleven · snap shot, a great chance (28%)
8–2
PEN
11:49 Nick Cousins· Roughing
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
11:49 Nick Cousins· Misconduct
10 min
Misconduct
PEN
13:59 Ridly Greig· Slashing
Killed
2 min
Minor
PEN
13:59 Ridly Greig· Misconduct
10 min
Misconduct
Goaltending
+0.2
vs expected
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
−1.3
vs expected
15/18 saves · 3 GA · 1.7 xGA Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Team COLOTT
Shots on goal
34
31
Expected goals
3.1
2.2
Hits
12
38
Blocks
16
24
Faceoffs
54%
46%
Power play
2/6
0/2
Penalty minutes
16
42
The Avalanche went 2-for-6 on the power play and killed all 2 Senators power plays.