COL
3–7
NSH
Final · L
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 33-5-8
3–7
FinalL
Nashville Predators
NSH · 23-20-4
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
217016110343
NSH
21121138730
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
COL 33-5-8 · NSH 23-20-4 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Avalanche fell to the Predators
The Avalanche created the better chances (2.8 to 1.8 expected goals) — and lost 3–7. Mackenzie Blackwood allowed 3.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 1.8, on 43 and 30 shots on goal.
COL 2.8 xG · 43 shots
NSH 1.8 xG · 30 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.0 · 0.9
2nd
1.1 · 0.6
3rd
0.7 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 00:30 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a great chance (35%)
2
Brock Nelson · 1st 01:24 · 1–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
3
Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 07:32 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Brock Nelson · 1st 11:16 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 13:01 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Michael Bunting · 2nd 18:04 · 2–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Martin Necas · 3rd 01:09 · 3–4 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 15:13 · 3–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
9
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 17:04 · 3–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
10
Michael McCarron · 3rd 17:41 · 3–7 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 67.
COL 67%NSH 33%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 3 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Predators shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 00:30 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a great chance (35%)
2
Brock Nelson · 1st 01:24 · 1–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
3
Ryan O'Reilly · 1st 07:32 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Brock Nelson · 1st 11:16 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
5
Ryan O'Reilly · 2nd 13:01 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Michael Bunting · 2nd 18:04 · GWG · 2–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Martin Necas · 3rd 01:09 · 3–4
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Filip Forsberg · 3rd 15:13 · PP · 3–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
9
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 17:04 · EN · 3–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
10
Michael McCarron · 3rd 17:41 · EN · 3–7
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:22
Erik Haula· Interference
Erik Haula· Interference
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:55
Zakhar Bardakov· Interference
Zakhar Bardakov· Interference
Forsberg scored on this power play
Minor
8
Ryan O'Reilly, Roman Josi · Power play (Bardakov, interference) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3–5
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:31
Cole Smith· Slashing
Cole Smith· Slashing
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
23/28 saves · 5 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 3.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
40/43 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Avalanche went 0-for-2 on the power play and allowed 1 on 1 Predators power play.