Colorado Avalanche
COL · 34-5-8
5–2
FinalW
Washington Capitals
WSH · 24-20-6
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
111216217544
WSH
1121903224
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
COL 34-5-8 · WSH 24-20-6 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Capitals
The Avalanche earned it: 4.5 expected goals to 2.7, and a 5–2 win to show for it. The Avalanche owned the 3rd period, 1.9 to 0.6 in expected goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 4.5 expected goals to 2.7, on 44 and 24 shots on goal.
COL 4.5 xG · 44 shots
WSH 2.7 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
0.8 · 1.1
2nd
1.9 · 1.0
3rd · the swing
1.9 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Parker Kelly · 1st 05:54 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Jakob Chychrun · 1st 07:27 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 07:03 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 15:58 · 3–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
5
Ethen Frank · 2nd 16:15 · 3–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 12:32 · 4–2 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 16:30 · 5–2 · snap shot, a great chance (30%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 75.
COL 75%WSH 25%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 11 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Parker Kelly · 1st 05:54 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Jakob Chychrun · 1st 07:27 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 07:03 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
4
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 15:58 · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
5
Ethen Frank · 2nd 16:15 · 3–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
6
Artturi Lehkonen · 3rd 12:32 · 4–2
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
7
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 16:30 · 5–2
Snap shot, a great chance (30%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:49
Ilya Solovyov· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:56
Scott Wedgewood· Tripping
Chychrun scored on this power play
Minor
2
Dylan Strome, Ethen Frank · Power play (Wedgewood, tripping) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
1–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
15:42
Josh Manson· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
4 min
Double minor
04:23
Jakob Chychrun· High-sticking
MacKinnon scored on this power play
Double minor
3
Martin Necas, Victor Olofsson · Power play (Chychrun, high-sticking) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
2–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:50
Ivan Miroshnichenko· Hooking
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:50
Samuel Girard· Holding
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:58
Aliaksei Protas· Interference
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:26
Jakob Chychrun· Delaying game puck over glass
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:01
Anthony Beauvillier· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:28
Brock Nelson· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:42
Charlie Lindgren· Tripping
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
22/24 saves · 2 GA · 2.7 xGA
Stopped 0.7 more goals than an average goalie would have.
39/44 saves · 5 GA · 4.5 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Avalanche went 1-for-5 on the power play and allowed 1 on 4 Capitals power plays.