COL
3–7
PHI
Final · L
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 34-6-9
3–7
FinalL
Philadelphia Flyers
PHI · 24-17-9
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
01737011335
PHI
261648720
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
COL 34-6-9 · PHI 24-17-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Avalanche fell to the Flyers
Chances were even (3.0 to 3.3 expected goals); the Avalanche lost 3–7. Mackenzie Blackwood allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 3.3, on 35 and 20 shots on goal.
COL 3.0 xG · 35 shots
PHI 3.3 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.7 · 0.9
2nd · the swing
0.6 · 1.5
3rd
0.7 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Owen Tippett · 1st 15:02 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Denver Barkey · 1st 18:57 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Parker Kelly · 2nd 07:17 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 10:29 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Bobby Brink · 2nd 11:01 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Cale Makar · 2nd 12:12 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Owen Tippett · 3rd 00:56 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Matvei Michkov · 3rd 02:00 · 3–5 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
9
Owen Tippett · 3rd 10:24 · 3–6 · wrist shot, a great chance (37%)
10
Matvei Michkov · 3rd 16:53 · 3–7 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 46.
COL 46%PHI 54%
Goals and penalties
10 goals · 6 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Flyers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Owen Tippett · 1st 15:02 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Denver Barkey · 1st 18:57 · PP · 0–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Parker Kelly · 2nd 07:17 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
4
Victor Olofsson · 2nd 10:29 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Bobby Brink · 2nd 11:01 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
6
Cale Makar · 2nd 12:12 · 3–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
7
Owen Tippett · 3rd 00:56 · GWG · 3–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Matvei Michkov · 3rd 02:00 · 3–5
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
9
Owen Tippett · 3rd 10:24 · SH · 3–6
Wrist shot, a great chance (37%)
10
Matvei Michkov · 3rd 16:53 · EN · 3–7
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:45
Travis Konecny· Hooking
Travis Konecny· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:59
Noah Cates· Interference
Noah Cates· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:41
Nathan MacKinnon· Interference
Nathan MacKinnon· Interference
Barkey scored on this power play
Minor
2
Matvei Michkov, Owen Tippett · Power play (MacKinnon, interference) · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
0–2
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:02
Artturi Lehkonen· High-sticking
Artturi Lehkonen· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:17
Emil Andrae· Tripping
Emil Andrae· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:37
Denver Barkey· Slashing
Denver Barkey· Slashing
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
13/19 saves · 6 GA · 3.3 xGA
Allowed 2.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 3.0 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Avalanche went 0-for-4 on the power play and allowed 1 on 2 Flyers power plays.