COL
4–2
SJS
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 37-9-9
4–2
FinalW
San Jose Sharks
SJS · 27-24-4
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
014217211442
SJS
0508212225
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–1
COL 37-9-9 · SJS 27-24-4 · Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–1
Avalanche beat the Sharks
The Avalanche earned it: 4.8 expected goals to 2.1, and a 4–2 win to show for it. Yaroslav Askarov stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 4.8 expected goals to 2.1, on 42 and 25 shots on goal.
COL 4.8 xG · 42 shots
SJS 2.1 xG · 25 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.5 · 0.5
2nd · the swing
2.7 · 0.8
3rd
0.6 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 01:05 · 1–0 · deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (71%)
2
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 15:47 · 2–0 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Timothy Liljegren · 3rd 00:43 · 2–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Philipp Kurashev · 3rd 03:34 · 2–2 · wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (15%)
5
Josh Manson · 3rd 12:44 · 3–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Brock Nelson · 3rd 18:43 · 4–2 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 85.
COL 85%SJS 15%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 8 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Sharks shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 01:05 · 1–0
Deflected shot on a rebound, a great chance (71%)
2
Artturi Lehkonen · 2nd 15:47 · 2–0
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
3
Timothy Liljegren · 3rd 00:43 · 2–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4
Philipp Kurashev · 3rd 03:34 · 2–2
Wrist shot off the rush, a good chance (15%)
5
Josh Manson · 3rd 12:44 · GWG · 3–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6
Brock Nelson · 3rd 18:43 · EN · 4–2
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:57
Parker Kelly· Slashing
Parker Kelly· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:09
Brock Nelson· Hooking
Brock Nelson· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:29
Alexander Wennberg· Hooking
Alexander Wennberg· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
17:38
Kiefer Sherwood· Holding
Kiefer Sherwood· Holding
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:08
Philipp Kurashev· High-sticking
Philipp Kurashev· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:41
Zakhar Bardakov· Hooking
Zakhar Bardakov· Hooking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
3
Alexander Wennberg, John Klingberg · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:50
Brent Burns· Tripping
Brent Burns· Tripping
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:50
Macklin Celebrini· Slashing
Macklin Celebrini· Slashing
Offsetting
Minor
5
Valeri Nichushkin, Nathan MacKinnon · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3–2
Goaltending
23/25 saves · 2 GA · 2.1 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
38/41 saves · 3 GA · 4.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Avalanche went 0-for-3 on the power play and killed all 3 Sharks power plays.