Colorado Avalanche
COL · 43-10-9
3–2
Final / SOW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 37-16-11
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
COL
01411218021336
MIN
0901529010234
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
COL 43-10-9 · MIN 37-16-11 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Avalanche beat the Wild
The Avalanche earned it: 4.1 expected goals to 2.3, and they won it in a shootout. Jesper Wallstedt stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 2.3, on 36 and 34 shots on goal.
COL 4.1 xG · 36 shots
MIN 2.3 xG · 34 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
1.6 · 0.3
2nd
1.1 · 0.7
3rd
1.0 · 0.9
OT
0.5 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 12:19 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 04:17 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Nico Sturm · 3rd 07:01 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Nicolas Roy · 3rd 12:39 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 76.
COL 76%MIN 24%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 9 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nathan MacKinnon · 2nd 12:19 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
2
Kirill Kaprizov · 3rd 04:17 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Nico Sturm · 3rd 07:01 · SH · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Nicolas Roy · 3rd 12:39 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:20
Quinn Hughes· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
06:57
Zach Bogosian· Hooking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:43
Ryan Hartman· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:28
Nicolas Roy· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:57
Nathan MacKinnon· Interference
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:13
Ross Colton· Slashing
Kaprizov scored on this power play
Minor
2
Quinn Hughes, Joel Eriksson Ek · Power play (Colton, slashing) · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
1–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:17
Yakov Trenin· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:29
Kirill Kaprizov· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:58
Valeri Nichushkin· Slashing
Killed
Minor
Shootout
1
Mats Zuccarello
Miss
2
Valeri Nichushkin
Goal
3
Matt Boldy
Goal
4
Martin Necas
Save
5
Kirill Kaprizov
Save
6
Nazem Kadri
Save
7
Vladimir Tarasenko
Save
8
Nathan MacKinnon
Goal
Goaltending
32/34 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
34/36 saves · 2 GA · 3.4 xGA
Stopped 1.4 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Avalanche went 0-for-5 on the power play and allowed 1 on 4 Wild power plays.