COL
3–4
EDM
Final · L
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 43-11-9
3–4
FinalL
Edmonton Oilers
EDM · 32-25-8
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
21208110330
EDM
2711017424
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
COL 43-11-9 · EDM 32-25-8 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Avalanche fell to the Oilers
The Avalanche were outchanced (4.4 to 3.5 expected goals) and lost 3–4. The Oilers scored 2 power-play goals.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Oilers created the better chances: 4.4 expected goals to 3.5, on 24 and 30 shots on goal.
COL 3.5 xG · 30 shots
EDM 4.4 xG · 24 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.3 · 1.5
2nd
1.2 · 1.4
3rd
0.9 · 1.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Ross Colton · 1st 00:32 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 1st 08:13 · 1–1 · snap shot, a great chance (64%)
3
Martin Necas · 1st 15:41 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Jack Roslovic · 1st 19:35 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 04:15 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a great chance (36%)
6
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 07:04 · 3–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Connor McDavid · 3rd 09:03 · 3–4 · snap shot, a great chance (39%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 38.
COL 38%EDM 62%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 10 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Oilers shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Ross Colton · 1st 00:32 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 1st 08:13 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a great chance (64%)
3
Martin Necas · 1st 15:41 · PP · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Jack Roslovic · 1st 19:35 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
5
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins · 2nd 04:15 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a great chance (36%)
6
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 07:04 · 3–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
7
Connor McDavid · 3rd 09:03 · PP · GWG · 3–4
Snap shot, a great chance (39%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:34
Brett Kulak· Hooking
Brett Kulak· Hooking
Nugent-Hopkins scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:17
Connor Murphy· Hooking
Connor Murphy· Hooking
Necas scored on this power play
Minor
3
Unassisted · Power play (Murphy, hooking) · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
2–1
PEN
5 min
Major
17:05
Trent Frederic· Fighting
Trent Frederic· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
17:05
Nicolas Roy· Fighting
Nicolas Roy· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:34
Brock Nelson· Holding the stick
Brock Nelson· Holding the stick
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:20
Connor Murphy· Tripping
Connor Murphy· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
19:25
Nathan MacKinnon· Interference goalkeeper
Nathan MacKinnon· Interference goalkeeper
Killed
Major
PEN
10 min
Misconduct
19:25
Nathan MacKinnon· Game
Nathan MacKinnon· Game
Misconduct
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:20
Nicolas Roy· High-sticking
Nicolas Roy· High-sticking
McDavid scored on this power play
Minor
7
Leon Draisaitl, Evan Bouchard · Power play (Roy, high-sticking) · snap shot, a great chance (39%)
3–4
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:53
Kasperi Kapanen· Hooking
Kasperi Kapanen· Hooking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
20/24 saves · 4 GA · 3.4 xGA
Allowed 0.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
16/18 saves · 2 GA · 1.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Avalanche went 1-for-3 on the power play and allowed 2 on 4 Oilers power plays.