Colorado Avalanche
COL · 44-13-9
2–7
FinalL
Pittsburgh Penguins
PIT · 34-18-15
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
2170406227
PIT
472815720
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
COL 44-13-9 · PIT 34-18-15 · First meeting this season — the Avalanche trail the season series 0–1
Avalanche fell to the Penguins
The Avalanche created the better chances (4.1 to 3.3 expected goals) — and lost 2–7. Scott Wedgewood allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 4.1 expected goals to 3.3, on 27 and 20 shots on goal.
COL 4.1 xG · 27 shots
PIT 3.3 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.8 · 1.8
2nd
0.7 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
1.6 · 0.7
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Evgeni Malkin · 1st 03:01 · 0–1 · backhand shot, a great chance (27%)
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 04:08 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Anthony Mantha · 1st 04:23 · 1–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (38%)
4
Evgeni Malkin · 1st 13:00 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (47%)
5
Elmer Soderblom · 1st 13:43 · 1–4 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
6
Brent Burns · 1st 14:21 · 2–4 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Erik Karlsson · 2nd 10:36 · 2–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Bryan Rust · 2nd 16:20 · 2–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
9
Noel Acciari · 3rd 09:06 · 2–7 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 62.
COL 62%PIT 38%
Goals and penalties
9 goals · 11 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Evgeni Malkin · 1st 03:01 · 0–1
Backhand shot, a great chance (27%)
2
Nathan MacKinnon · 1st 04:08 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Anthony Mantha · 1st 04:23 · 1–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (38%)
4
Evgeni Malkin · 1st 13:00 · GWG · 1–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (47%)
5
Elmer Soderblom · 1st 13:43 · 1–4
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (14%)
6
Brent Burns · 1st 14:21 · 2–4
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
7
Erik Karlsson · 2nd 10:36 · 2–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
8
Bryan Rust · 2nd 16:20 · PP · 2–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
9
Noel Acciari · 3rd 09:06 · 2–7
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:48
Evgeni Malkin· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:33
Ville Koivunen· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:39
Jack Drury· Interference
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
03:30
Anthony Mantha· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:11
Arturs Silovs· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:30
Nicolas Roy· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
15:40
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Rust scored on this power play
Bench minor
8
Evgeni Malkin, Rickard Rakell · Power play (too many men on the ice) · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
2–6
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:59
Evgeni Malkin· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:59
Parker Kelly· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
5 min
Major
10:59
Connor Clifton· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
PEN
5 min
Major
10:59
Jack Drury· Fighting
Offsetting
Major
Goaltending
11/15 saves · 4 GA · 2.6 xGA
Allowed 1.4 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
2/5 saves · 3 GA · 1.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Avalanche went 0-for-4 on the power play and allowed 1 on 3 Penguins power plays.