COL
2–4
WPG
Final · L
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 48-14-10
2–4
FinalL
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 31-30-12
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
1911004223
WPG
1101625421
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
COL 48-14-10 · WPG 31-30-12 · Meeting 4 this season — the season series is tied 2–2
Avalanche fell to the Jets
The Avalanche created the better chances (2.5 to 1.8 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Mackenzie Blackwood allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 2.5 expected goals to 1.8, on 23 and 21 shots on goal.
COL 2.5 xG · 23 shots
WPG 1.8 xG · 21 shots
0
1
2
1st
1.3 · 0.6
2nd
0.7 · 0.6
3rd
0.5 · 0.6
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Gabriel Vilardi · 1st 03:51 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Brock Nelson · 1st 08:59 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Cole Koepke · 2nd 02:14 · 1–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Parker Kelly · 2nd 18:05 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a great chance (28%)
5
Cole Perfetti · 3rd 14:49 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Kyle Connor · 3rd 17:51 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 62.
COL 62%WPG 38%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 8 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Jets shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Gabriel Vilardi · 1st 03:51 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Brock Nelson · 1st 08:59 · PP · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Cole Koepke · 2nd 02:14 · 1–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
4
Parker Kelly · 2nd 18:05 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a great chance (28%)
5
Cole Perfetti · 3rd 14:49 · GWG · 2–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
6
Kyle Connor · 3rd 17:51 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:18
Dylan Samberg· Hooking
Dylan Samberg· Hooking
Nelson scored on this power play
Minor
2
Nazem Kadri, Cale Makar · Power play (Samberg, hooking) · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
1–1
2nd period
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:07
Artturi Lehkonen· Tripping
Artturi Lehkonen· Tripping
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
01:07
Mark Scheifele· Embellishment
Mark Scheifele· Embellishment
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:43
Parker Kelly· Roughing
Parker Kelly· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:43
Cole Perfetti· Roughing
Cole Perfetti· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:44
Josh Manson· High-sticking
Josh Manson· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
14:49
Bench· Delaying game unsuccessful challenge
Bench· Delaying game unsuccessful challenge
Killed
Bench minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:26
Mark Scheifele· Hooking
Mark Scheifele· Hooking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
17/20 saves · 3 GA · 1.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
21/23 saves · 2 GA · 1.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Avalanche went 1-for-2 on the power play and killed all 2 Jets power plays.