COL
2–3
STL
Final · L
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 50-16-10
2–3
FinalL
St. Louis Blues
STL · 33-31-12
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
1811208228
STL
11116112329
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
COL 50-16-10 · STL 33-31-12 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Avalanche fell to the Blues
The Avalanche were outchanced (2.6 to 1.6 expected goals) and lost 2–3. Thomas's winner came with 2:50 left. Mackenzie Blackwood stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blues created the better chances: 2.6 expected goals to 1.6, on 29 and 28 shots on goal.
COL 1.6 xG · 28 shots
STL 2.6 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.8
2nd
0.5 · 0.7
3rd
0.6 · 1.1
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Robert Thomas · 1st 12:01 · 0–1 · slap shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Parker Kelly · 1st 15:10 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Brent Burns · 2nd 03:40 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Robert Thomas · 2nd 04:09 · 2–2 · snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Robert Thomas · 3rd 17:10 · 2–3 · snap shot, a great chance (32%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 33.
COL 33%STL 67%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 7 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Blues shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Robert Thomas · 1st 12:01 · 0–1
Slap shot, a good chance (19%)
2
Parker Kelly · 1st 15:10 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Brent Burns · 2nd 03:40 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
4
Robert Thomas · 2nd 04:09 · 2–2
Snap shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Robert Thomas · 3rd 17:10 · GWG · 2–3
Snap shot, a great chance (32%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:48
Jonatan Berggren· Hooking
Jonatan Berggren· Hooking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:37
Nazem Kadri· Tripping
Nazem Kadri· Tripping
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:16
Jonatan Berggren· Holding
Jonatan Berggren· Holding
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
02:26
Jack Finley· Holding the stick
Jack Finley· Holding the stick
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:20
Nathan MacKinnon· Slashing
Nathan MacKinnon· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:41
Josh Manson· Hooking
Josh Manson· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:06
Gabriel Landeskog· Slashing
Gabriel Landeskog· Slashing
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 4.6 xGA
Stopped 1.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Avalanche went 0-for-3 on the power play and killed all 4 Blues power plays.