COL
3–1
CGY
Final · W
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 52-16-10
3–1
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 32-37-9
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
11212019341
CGY
0809112129
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–0
COL 52-16-10 · CGY 32-37-9 · Meeting 2 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–0
Avalanche beat the Flames
The Avalanche earned it: 3.9 expected goals to 1.1, and a 3–1 win to show for it. Dustin Wolf stopped 3.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.9 expected goals to 1.1, on 41 and 29 shots on goal.
COL 3.9 xG · 41 shots
CGY 1.1 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 0.2
2nd · the swing
1.8 · 0.4
3rd
0.8 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Gabriel Landeskog · 1st 18:44 · 1–0 · snap shot, a great chance (51%)
2
Martin Necas · 2nd 15:01 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Tyson Gross · 3rd 17:08 · 2–1 · backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 19:05 · 3–1 · backhand shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 90.
COL 90%CGY 10%
Goals and penalties
4 goals · 5 penalties← Avalanche shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Gabriel Landeskog · 1st 18:44 · PP · 1–0
Snap shot, a great chance (51%)
2
Martin Necas · 2nd 15:01 · GWG · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Tyson Gross · 3rd 17:08 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–1
Backhand shot on a rebound, a good chance (21%)
4
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 19:05 · EN · 3–1
Backhand shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:37
John Beecher· Hooking
John Beecher· Hooking
Landeskog scored on this power play
Minor
1
Nathan MacKinnon, Martin Necas · Power play (Beecher, hooking) · snap shot, a great chance (51%)
1–0
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:33
Nathan MacKinnon· Slashing
Nathan MacKinnon· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
04:47
Matt Coronato· Slashing
Matt Coronato· Slashing
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
05:56
Matt Coronato· Hooking
Matt Coronato· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:13
Joel Kiviranta· High-sticking
Joel Kiviranta· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
28/29 saves · 1 GA · 3.0 xGA
Stopped 2.0 more goals than an average goalie would have.
38/40 saves · 2 GA · 5.5 xGA
Stopped 3.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Avalanche went 1-for-3 on the power play and killed all 2 Flames power plays.