Colorado Avalanche
COL · 52-16-11
2–3
Final / OTL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 37-26-17
1ST2ND3RDOTT
COL
1151110600232
VGK
1711001111329
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–1
COL 52-16-11 · VGK 37-26-17 · Meeting 3 this season — the Avalanche lead the season series 2–1
Avalanche fell to the Golden Knights
The Avalanche were outchanced (3.8 to 3.0 expected goals) and lost it in overtime on Eichel's goal.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Golden Knights created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 3.0, on 29 and 32 shots on goal.
COL 3.0 xG · 32 shots
VGK 3.8 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.3 · 1.0
2nd
0.7 · 1.4
3rd
0.9 · 1.3
OT
0.1 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Devon Toews · 1st 09:17 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Mark Stone · 1st 13:47 · 1–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Pavel Dorofeyev · 2nd 02:09 · 1–2 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Nick Blankenburg · 2nd 10:56 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Jack Eichel · OT 01:19 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 37.
COL 37%VGK 63%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 7 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Devon Toews · 1st 09:17 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
2
Mark Stone · 1st 13:47 · PP · 1–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
3
Pavel Dorofeyev · 2nd 02:09 · 1–2
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Nick Blankenburg · 2nd 10:56 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
5
Jack Eichel · OT 01:19 · GWG · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Bench minor
05:25
Bench· Too many men on the ice
Killed
Bench minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
07:48
Nic Dowd· Boarding
Toews scored on this power play
Minor
1
Brock Nelson, Martin Necas · Power play (Dowd, boarding) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
1–0
PEN
2 min
Minor
11:12
Shea Theodore· Slashing
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:35
Brock Nelson· Tripping
Stone scored on this power play
Minor
2
Tomas Hertl, Mitch Marner · Power play (Nelson, tripping) · backhand shot, a good chance (18%)
1–1
PEN
2 min
Minor
18:43
Colton Sissons· Cross-checking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:36
Gabriel Landeskog· Hooking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
13:53
Brent Burns· Slashing
Killed
Minor
Overtime
Goaltending
26/29 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
30/32 saves · 2 GA · 2.5 xGA
Stopped 0.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Avalanche went 1-for-3 on the power play and allowed 1 on 4 Golden Knights power plays.