Colorado Avalanche
COL · 5-0
9–6
FinalW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 4-3
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
316214413943
MIN
29316111636
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Avalanche lead the series 1–0
COL 5-0 · MIN 4-3 · Game 1 — the Avalanche lead the series 1–0
Avalanche beat the Wild
The Avalanche were outchanced (4.7 to 4.2 expected goals) but won 9–6 anyway. Jesper Wallstedt allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Wild created the better chances: 4.7 expected goals to 4.2, on 36 and 43 shots on goal.
COL 4.2 xG · 43 shots
MIN 4.7 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.8 · 1.0
2nd · the swing
1.1 · 2.8
3rd
1.2 · 0.9
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sam Malinski · 1st 11:12 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Jack Drury · 1st 12:04 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
3
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 13:13 · 3–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
4
Marcus Johansson · 1st 15:02 · 3–1 · slap shot, a great chance (37%)
5
Ryan Hartman · 1st 16:04 · 3–2 · wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
6
Nick Blankenburg · 2nd 04:16 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 06:45 · 4–3 · backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Quinn Hughes · 2nd 12:43 · 4–4 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Marcus Foligno · 2nd 16:55 · 4–5 · backhand shot, a great chance (59%)
10
Devon Toews · 2nd 18:04 · 5–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
11
Cale Makar · 3rd 03:21 · 6–5 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
12
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 05:43 · 7–5 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
13
Mats Zuccarello · 3rd 16:01 · 7–6 · tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
14
Cale Makar · 3rd 17:06 · 8–6 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
15
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 17:52 · 9–6 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 43.
COL 43%MIN 57%
Goals and penalties
15 goals · 9 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sam Malinski · 1st 11:12 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Jack Drury · 1st 12:04 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a great chance (27%)
3
Artturi Lehkonen · 1st 13:13 · PP · 3–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
4
Marcus Johansson · 1st 15:02 · 3–1
Slap shot, a great chance (37%)
5
Ryan Hartman · 1st 16:04 · 3–2
Wrist shot, a great chance (29%)
6
Nick Blankenburg · 2nd 04:16 · 4–2
Wrist shot, a good chance (20%)
7
Vladimir Tarasenko · 2nd 06:45 · 4–3
Backhand shot, a good chance (20%)
8
Quinn Hughes · 2nd 12:43 · 4–4
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
9
Marcus Foligno · 2nd 16:55 · SH · 4–5
Backhand shot, a great chance (59%)
10
Devon Toews · 2nd 18:04 · 5–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
11
Cale Makar · 3rd 03:21 · 6–5
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
12
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 05:43 · GWG · 7–5
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
13
Mats Zuccarello · 3rd 16:01 · 7–6
Tip in shot, a good chance (13%)
14
Cale Makar · 3rd 17:06 · 8–6
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
15
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 17:52 · EN · 9–6
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:14
Nazem Kadri· Holding
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:24
Brock Faber· Roughing
Lehkonen scored on this power play
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:24
Brock Faber· Cross-checking
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:24
Gabriel Landeskog· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
3
Nathan MacKinnon, Martin Necas · Power play (Faber, roughing) · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (26%)
3–0
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
00:21
Artturi Lehkonen· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:01
Brock Faber· Hooking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
08:53
Gabriel Landeskog· Closing hand on puck
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:53
Cale Makar· Roughing
Offsetting
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
10:53
Ryan Hartman· Holding
Offsetting
Minor
Goaltending
30/36 saves · 6 GA · 4.3 xGA
Allowed 1.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
34/42 saves · 8 GA · 5.8 xGA
Allowed 2.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
The Avalanche went 1-for-1 on the power play and killed all 3 Wild power plays.