Colorado Avalanche
COL · 8-1
4–3
Final / OTW
Minnesota Wild
MIN · 5-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
COL
012192914434
MIN
313030400320
goals · shots on goal
Game 5 — the Avalanche lead the series 4–1
COL 8-1 · MIN 5-6 · Game 5 — the Avalanche lead the series 4–1
Avalanche beat the Wild
Down 0–3 in the 1st period, the Avalanche erased the deficit with four unanswered goals — MacKinnon's equalizer with 1:23 left and the goalie pulled — and won it in overtime on Kulak's goal. Mackenzie Blackwood allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 4.0 expected goals to 2.2, on 34 and 20 shots on goal.
COL 4.0 xG · 34 shots
MIN 2.2 xG · 20 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st · the swing
0.6 · 1.9
2nd
1.2 · 0.1
3rd
1.3 · 0.1
OT
0.8 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Marcus Johansson · 1st 00:34 · 0–1 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Nick Foligno · 1st 11:03 · 0–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Nick Foligno · 1st 15:56 · 0–3 · snap shot, a great chance (37%)
4
Parker Kelly · 2nd 11:00 · 1–3 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Jack Drury · 3rd 16:27 · 2–3 · tip in shot, a great chance (27%)
6
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 18:37 · 3–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
7
Brett Kulak · OT 03:52 · 4–3 · snap shot, a great chance (36%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 77.
COL 77%MIN 23%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 2 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Marcus Johansson · 1st 00:34 · 0–1
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Nick Foligno · 1st 11:03 · 0–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (14%)
3
Nick Foligno · 1st 15:56 · 0–3
Snap shot, a great chance (37%)
4
Parker Kelly · 2nd 11:00 · 1–3
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Jack Drury · 3rd 16:27 · 2–3
Tip in shot, a great chance (27%)
6
Nathan MacKinnon · 3rd 18:37 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 3–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (31%)
7
Brett Kulak · OT 03:52 · GWG · 4–3
Snap shot, a great chance (36%)
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
12:26
Gabriel Landeskog· Hooking
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:52
Danila Yurov· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
3rd period
Overtime
Goaltending
10/13 saves · 3 GA · 1.8 xGA
Allowed 1.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
7/7 saves · 0 GA · 0.3 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
The Avalanche went 0-for-1 on the power play and killed all 1 Wild power play.