Colorado Avalanche
COL · 8-2
2–4
FinalL
Vegas Golden Knights
VGK · 9-4
1ST2ND3RDT
COL
010015213238
VGK
01021028428
goals · shots on goal
Game 1 — the Avalanche trail the series 0–1
COL 8-2 · VGK 9-4 · Game 1 — the Avalanche trail the series 0–1
Avalanche fell to the Golden Knights
The Avalanche created the better chances (3.7 to 2.6 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Carter Hart stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.7 expected goals to 2.6, on 38 and 28 shots on goal.
COL 3.7 xG · 38 shots
VGK 2.6 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
1.2 · 1.0
2nd
1.1 · 0.8
3rd
1.4 · 0.8
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dylan Coghlan · 2nd 12:29 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Pavel Dorofeyev · 2nd 15:02 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Brett Howden · 3rd 01:34 · 0–3 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (43%)
4
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 05:53 · 1–3 · between legs shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Gabriel Landeskog · 3rd 17:39 · 2–3 · snap shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Nic Dowd · 3rd 19:15 · 2–4 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Avalanche win 67.
COL 67%VGK 33%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 5 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dylan Coghlan · 2nd 12:29 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Pavel Dorofeyev · 2nd 15:02 · PP · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
3
Brett Howden · 3rd 01:34 · GWG · 0–3
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (43%)
4
Valeri Nichushkin · 3rd 05:53 · 1–3
Between legs shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
5
Gabriel Landeskog · 3rd 17:39 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 2–3
Snap shot, a good chance (23%)
6
Nic Dowd · 3rd 19:15 · EN · 2–4
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
PEN
2 min
Minor
09:02
Brent Burns· Hooking
Killed
Minor
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:09
Ivan Barbashev· Holding
Killed
Minor
2nd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
14:16
Ross Colton· Roughing
Dorofeyev scored on this power play
Minor
2
Mitch Marner, Tomas Hertl · Power play (Colton, roughing) · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
0–2
PEN
2 min
Minor
19:24
Ben Hutton· Tripping
Killed
Minor
3rd period
PEN
2 min
Minor
16:52
Shea Theodore· High-sticking
Killed
Minor
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.6 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
36/38 saves · 2 GA · 3.3 xGA
Stopped 1.3 more goals than an average goalie would have.
The Avalanche went 0-for-3 on the power play and allowed 1 on 2 Golden Knights power plays.