Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 37-37-7
5–2
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 50-23-8
1ST2ND3RDT
CBJ
19113313535
TBL
0611219227
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Blue Jackets trail the season series 1–2
CBJ 37-37-7 · TBL 50-23-8 · Meeting 3 this season — the Blue Jackets trail the season series 1–2
Blue Jackets beat the Lightning
Chances were even (3.5 to 3.2 expected goals); the Blue Jackets won 5–2. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.5 expected goals to 3.2, on 35 and 27 shots on goal.
CBJ 3.5 xG · 35 shots
TBL 3.2 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.7
2nd
1.5 · 1.1
3rd
1.1 · 1.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Jakub Voracek · 1st 16:03 · 1–0 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 10:15 · 1–1 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Cole Sillinger · 2nd 10:47 · 2–1 · snap shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Jack Roslovic · 3rd 00:15 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Oliver Bjorkstrand · 3rd 09:05 · 4–1 · snap shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Corey Perry · 3rd 16:54 · 4–2 · tip in shot, a great chance (29%)
7
Andrew Peeke · 3rd 18:09 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blue Jackets win 55.
CBJ 55%TBL 45%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Jakub Voracek · 1st 16:03 · 1–0
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Nikita Kucherov · 2nd 10:15 · PP · 1–1
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
3
Cole Sillinger · 2nd 10:47 · 2–1
Snap shot, a good chance (24%)
4
Jack Roslovic · 3rd 00:15 · PP · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
5
Oliver Bjorkstrand · 3rd 09:05 · 4–1
Snap shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Corey Perry · 3rd 16:54 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–2
Tip in shot, a great chance (29%)
7
Andrew Peeke · 3rd 18:09 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
5
Unassisted · snap shot off the rush, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
4–1
No penalties
Goaltending
25/27 saves · 2 GA · 3.2 xGA
Stopped 1.2 more goals than an average goalie would have.
30/34 saves · 4 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 0.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.