Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 24-44-8
4–3
Final / OTW
Ottawa Senators
OTT · 37-34-6
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CBJ
26071811422
OTT
311080800327
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Blue Jackets trail the season series 1–2
CBJ 24-44-8 · OTT 37-34-6 · Meeting 3 this season — the Blue Jackets trail the season series 1–2
Blue Jackets beat the Senators
The Blue Jackets were outchanced (2.8 to 2.2 expected goals) but won it in overtime on Marchenko's goal anyway. Cam Talbot allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Senators created the better chances: 2.8 expected goals to 2.2, on 27 and 22 shots on goal.
CBJ 2.2 xG · 22 shots
OTT 2.8 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.6 · 0.9
2nd
1.0 · 1.1
3rd
0.5 · 0.8
OT
0.2 · 0.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kent Johnson · 1st 02:41 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
· 1st 04:00 · 1–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Eric Robinson · 1st 04:05 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Mark Kastelic · 1st 09:26 · 2–2 · wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
5
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 14:46 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Boone Jenner · 3rd 14:11 · 3–3 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Kirill Marchenko · OT 00:16 · 4–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blue Jackets win 41.
CBJ 41%OTT 59%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kent Johnson · 1st 02:41 · PP · 1–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
· 1st 04:00 · 1–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (11%)
3
Eric Robinson · 1st 04:05 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (6%) that found a way in
4
Mark Kastelic · 1st 09:26 · 2–2
Wrist shot on a rebound, a good chance (17%)
5
Alex DeBrincat · 1st 14:46 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
6
Boone Jenner · 3rd 14:11 · 3–3
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Kirill Marchenko · OT 00:16 · GWG · 4–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (17%)
1st period
2nd period
No goals or penalties.
3rd period
Overtime
No penalties
Goaltending
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.8 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
18/22 saves · 4 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 1.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.