CBJ
4–2
TBL
Final · W
Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 4-4-2
4–2
FinalW
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 4-3-3
1ST2ND3RDT
CBJ
11105312428
TBL
01121206229
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blue Jackets lead the season series 1–0
CBJ 4-4-2 · TBL 4-3-3 · First meeting this season — the Blue Jackets lead the season series 1–0
Blue Jackets beat the Lightning
The Blue Jackets were outchanced (3.5 to 2.7 expected goals) but won 4–2 anyway. Elvis Merzlikins stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Lightning created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.7, on 29 and 28 shots on goal.
CBJ 2.7 xG · 28 shots
TBL 3.5 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.1 · 1.2
2nd · the swing
0.4 · 1.7
3rd
1.2 · 0.5
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kirill Marchenko · 1st 06:29 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 02:53 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Conor Sheary · 2nd 04:42 · 1–2 · snap shot, a great chance (33%)
4
Boone Jenner · 3rd 06:41 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Erik Gudbranson · 3rd 09:24 · 3–2 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Johnny Gaudreau · 3rd 17:49 · 4–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blue Jackets win 39.
CBJ 39%TBL 61%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties← Blue Jackets shoot this way
Lightning shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kirill Marchenko · 1st 06:29 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Steven Stamkos · 2nd 02:53 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
3
Conor Sheary · 2nd 04:42 · 1–2
Snap shot, a great chance (33%)
4
Boone Jenner · 3rd 06:41 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Erik Gudbranson · 3rd 09:24 · GWG · 3–2
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
6
Johnny Gaudreau · 3rd 17:49 · EN · 4–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 3.5 xGA
Stopped 1.5 more goals than an average goalie would have.
24/27 saves · 3 GA · 2.7 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
