Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 12-18-7
6–5
Final / OTW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 17-9-7
1ST2ND3RDOTT
CBJ
14371812621
TOR
2143120700533
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Blue Jackets lead the season series 2–1
CBJ 12-18-7 · TOR 17-9-7 · Meeting 3 this season — the Blue Jackets lead the season series 2–1
Blue Jackets beat the Maple Leafs
Down 1–3 in the 2nd period, the Blue Jackets erased the deficit with five unanswered goals — Fantilli's equalizer — and won it in overtime on Gaudreau's goal. Ilya Samsonov allowed 4.2 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Maple Leafs created the better chances: 3.3 expected goals to 1.8, on 33 and 21 shots on goal.
CBJ 1.8 xG · 21 shots
TOR 3.3 xG · 33 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
0.2 · 1.0
2nd
1.0 · 1.4
3rd
0.4 · 0.7
OT
0.2 · 0.2
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Mitch Marner · 1st 04:14 · 0–1 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Cole Sillinger · 1st 11:17 · 1–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Auston Matthews · 1st 12:55 · 1–2 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Nick Robertson · 2nd 01:35 · 1–3 · deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Brendan Gaunce · 2nd 03:20 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
William Nylander · 2nd 09:42 · 2–4 · snap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Dmitri Voronkov · 2nd 11:05 · 3–4 · deflected shot, a good chance (19%)
8
Kent Johnson · 2nd 12:43 · 4–4 · backhand shot, a good chance (25%)
9
John Tavares · 2nd 19:05 · 4–5 · tip in shot, a good chance (23%)
10
Adam Fantilli · 3rd 13:46 · 5–5 · snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
11
Johnny Gaudreau · OT 02:56 · 6–5 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blue Jackets win 26.
CBJ 26%TOR 74%
Goals and penalties
11 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Mitch Marner · 1st 04:14 · 0–1
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
2
Cole Sillinger · 1st 11:17 · 1–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
3
Auston Matthews · 1st 12:55 · 1–2
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
4
Nick Robertson · 2nd 01:35 · 1–3
Deflected shot, a good chance (14%)
5
Brendan Gaunce · 2nd 03:20 · 2–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (18%)
6
William Nylander · 2nd 09:42 · PP · 2–4
Snap shot, a good chance (12%)
7
Dmitri Voronkov · 2nd 11:05 · PP · 3–4
Deflected shot, a good chance (19%)
8
Kent Johnson · 2nd 12:43 · 4–4
Backhand shot, a good chance (25%)
9
John Tavares · 2nd 19:05 · PP · 4–5
Tip in shot, a good chance (23%)
10
Adam Fantilli · 3rd 13:46 · 5–5
Snap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
11
Johnny Gaudreau · OT 02:56 · GWG · 6–5
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
Overtime
11
Damon Severson, Justin Danforth · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
6–5
No penalties
Goaltending
16/19 saves · 3 GA · 2.3 xGA
Allowed 0.7 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
12/14 saves · 2 GA · 1.0 xGA
Allowed 1.0 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.