Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 16-25-10
2–4
FinalL
Tampa Bay Lightning
TBL · 28-20-5
1ST2ND3RDT
CBJ
09014212235
TBL
113111213437
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CBJ 16-25-10 · TBL 28-20-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Blue Jackets fell to the Lightning
The Blue Jackets created the better chances (5.1 to 3.2 expected goals) — and lost 2–4. Andrei Vasilevskiy stopped 3.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blue Jackets created the better chances: 5.1 expected goals to 3.2, on 35 and 37 shots on goal.
CBJ 5.1 xG · 35 shots
TBL 3.2 xG · 37 shots
0
1
2
3
4
5
1st
1.1 · 1.5
2nd
1.6 · 0.7
3rd · the swing
2.4 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Nick Paul · 1st 15:40 · 0–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
2
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 00:49 · 0–2 · backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 00:23 · 0–3 · slap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Boone Jenner · 3rd 12:22 · 1–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Boone Jenner · 3rd 15:50 · 2–3 · wrist shot, a great chance (34%)
6
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 19:12 · 2–4 · snap shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blue Jackets win 74.
CBJ 74%TBL 26%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Nick Paul · 1st 15:40 · PP · 0–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (47%)
2
Anthony Cirelli · 2nd 00:49 · 0–2
Backhand shot, a good chance (19%)
3
Steven Stamkos · 3rd 00:23 · PP · GWG · 0–3
Slap shot, a good chance (12%)
4
Boone Jenner · 3rd 12:22 · 1–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (21%)
5
Boone Jenner · 3rd 15:50 · PP · 2–3
Wrist shot, a great chance (34%)
6
Brandon Hagel · 3rd 19:12 · EN · 2–4
Snap shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
33/36 saves · 3 GA · 3.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
33/35 saves · 2 GA · 5.1 xGA
Stopped 3.1 more goals than an average goalie would have.