Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 23-34-11
1–6
FinalL
Winnipeg Jets
WPG · 43-19-5
1ST2ND3RDT
CBJ
01108112131
WPG
1741317627
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the Blue Jackets trail the season series 0–2
CBJ 23-34-11 · WPG 43-19-5 · Meeting 2 this season — the Blue Jackets trail the season series 0–2
Blue Jackets fell to the Jets
Chances were even (2.8 to 2.7 expected goals); the Blue Jackets lost 1–6. Elvis Merzlikins allowed 3.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.8 expected goals to 2.7, on 31 and 27 shots on goal.
CBJ 2.8 xG · 31 shots
WPG 2.7 xG · 27 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.9 · 0.6
2nd
0.6 · 1.2
3rd
1.3 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kyle Connor · 1st 01:26 · 0–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Nikolaj Ehlers · 2nd 01:10 · 0–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 09:45 · 0–3 · wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Logan Stanley · 2nd 12:00 · 0–4 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Vladislav Namestnikov · 2nd 18:24 · 0–5 · slap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Brendan Gaunce · 3rd 00:39 · 1–5 · backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 17:34 · 1–6 · snap shot off the rush, a good chance (20%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blue Jackets win 51.
CBJ 51%WPG 49%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kyle Connor · 1st 01:26 · 0–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
2
Nikolaj Ehlers · 2nd 01:10 · GWG · 0–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (9%) that found a way in
3
Tyler Toffoli · 2nd 09:45 · 0–3
Wrist shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Logan Stanley · 2nd 12:00 · 0–4
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (2%) that found a way in
5
Vladislav Namestnikov · 2nd 18:24 · 0–5
Slap shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Brendan Gaunce · 3rd 00:39 · 1–5
Backhand shot, a good chance (21%)
7
Tyler Toffoli · 3rd 17:34 · 1–6
Snap shot off the rush, a good chance (20%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
21/27 saves · 6 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 3.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
30/31 saves · 1 GA · 2.8 xGA
Stopped 1.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.