Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 25-38-12
4–1
FinalW
Colorado Avalanche
COL · 47-22-6
1ST2ND3RDT
CBJ
0731414425
COL
011017118146
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CBJ 25-38-12 · COL 47-22-6 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Blue Jackets beat the Avalanche
The Blue Jackets were outchanced (3.8 to 2.1 expected goals) but won 4–1 anyway. Daniil Tarasov stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Avalanche created the better chances: 3.8 expected goals to 2.1, on 46 and 25 shots on goal.
CBJ 2.1 xG · 25 shots
COL 3.8 xG · 46 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.5 · 0.7
2nd
1.4 · 0.8
3rd · the swing
0.2 · 2.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kirill Marchenko · 2nd 09:35 · 1–0 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
· 2nd 14:12 · 2–0 · snap shot off the rush, a good chance (12%)
3
· 2nd 18:03 · 3–0 · backhand shot, a good chance (24%)
4
· 3rd 04:39 · 3–1 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Cole Sillinger · 3rd 18:27 · 4–1 · tip in shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blue Jackets win 24.
CBJ 24%COL 76%
Goals and penalties
5 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kirill Marchenko · 2nd 09:35 · 1–0
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
2
· 2nd 14:12 · GWG · 2–0
Snap shot off the rush, a good chance (12%)
3
· 2nd 18:03 · 3–0
Backhand shot, a good chance (24%)
4
· 3rd 04:39 · 3–1
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
5
Cole Sillinger · 3rd 18:27 · EN · 4–1
Tip in shot, into an empty net
1st period
No goals or penalties.
2nd period
1
Erik Gudbranson, Johnny Gaudreau · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
1–0
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
45/46 saves · 1 GA · 3.8 xGA
Stopped 2.8 more goals than an average goalie would have.
21/24 saves · 3 GA · 2.1 xGA
Allowed 0.9 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.