Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 3-3-0
6–2
FinalW
Toronto Maple Leafs
TOR · 4-3-0
1ST2ND3RDT
CBJ
31521419638
TOR
0611319228
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blue Jackets lead the season series 1–0
CBJ 3-3-0 · TOR 4-3-0 · First meeting this season — the Blue Jackets lead the season series 1–0
Blue Jackets beat the Maple Leafs
The Blue Jackets earned it: 3.5 expected goals to 2.9, and a 6–2 win to show for it. Dennis Hildeby allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Blue Jackets created the better chances: 3.5 expected goals to 2.9, on 38 and 28 shots on goal.
CBJ 3.5 xG · 38 shots
TOR 2.9 xG · 28 shots
0
1
2
3
1st · the swing
1.4 · 0.6
2nd
1.4 · 1.3
3rd
0.7 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
James van Riemsdyk · 1st 05:29 · 1–0 · backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
2
Justin Danforth · 1st 06:21 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Mathieu Olivier · 1st 12:42 · 3–0 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Sean Monahan · 2nd 05:35 · 4–0 · snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
5
Mathieu Olivier · 2nd 11:36 · 5–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Matthew Knies · 2nd 18:59 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Kirill Marchenko · 3rd 11:58 · 6–1 · snap shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Nick Robertson · 3rd 13:03 · 6–2 · backhand shot, a great chance (32%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blue Jackets win 58.
CBJ 58%TOR 42%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
James van Riemsdyk · 1st 05:29 · 1–0
Backhand shot on a rebound, a great chance (31%)
2
Justin Danforth · 1st 06:21 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
3
Mathieu Olivier · 1st 12:42 · GWG · 3–0
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
4
Sean Monahan · 2nd 05:35 · 4–0
Snap shot on a rebound, a good chance (23%)
5
Mathieu Olivier · 2nd 11:36 · 5–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (19%)
6
Matthew Knies · 2nd 18:59 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
7
Kirill Marchenko · 3rd 11:58 · 6–1
Snap shot, a good chance (16%)
8
Nick Robertson · 3rd 13:03 · 6–2
Backhand shot, a great chance (32%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
26/28 saves · 2 GA · 2.9 xGA
Stopped 0.9 more goals than an average goalie would have.
32/38 saves · 6 GA · 3.5 xGA
Allowed 2.5 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.