Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 9-9-2
5–4
Final / SOW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 14-5-1
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
CBJ
26112113011532
CAR
11331307030436
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blue Jackets lead the season series 1–0
CBJ 9-9-2 · CAR 14-5-1 · First meeting this season — the Blue Jackets lead the season series 1–0
Blue Jackets beat the Hurricanes
Chances were even (3.0 to 2.7 expected goals); the Blue Jackets won it in a shootout. Elvis Merzlikins allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 3.0 expected goals to 2.7, on 32 and 36 shots on goal.
CBJ 3.0 xG · 32 shots
CAR 2.7 xG · 36 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
0.8 · 0.8
2nd
1.1 · 1.4
3rd · the swing
1.0 · 0.1
OT
0.1 · 0.4
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Dante Fabbro · 1st 02:04 · 1–0 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Jack Roslovic · 1st 06:41 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Kirill Marchenko · 1st 10:20 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Jalen Chatfield · 2nd 05:40 · 2–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Dmitri Voronkov · 2nd 07:10 · 3–2 · snap shot, a good chance (25%)
6
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 10:39 · 3–3 · slap shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Jackson Blake · 2nd 13:23 · 3–4 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Kirill Marchenko · 3rd 18:54 · 4–4 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blue Jackets win 55.
CBJ 55%CAR 45%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Dante Fabbro · 1st 02:04 · 1–0
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
2
Jack Roslovic · 1st 06:41 · 1–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
3
Kirill Marchenko · 1st 10:20 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Jalen Chatfield · 2nd 05:40 · 2–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (8%) that found a way in
5
Dmitri Voronkov · 2nd 07:10 · PP · 3–2
Snap shot, a good chance (25%)
6
Sebastian Aho · 2nd 10:39 · PP · 3–3
Slap shot, a good chance (11%)
7
Jackson Blake · 2nd 13:23 · 3–4
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
8
Kirill Marchenko · 3rd 18:54 · EXTRA ATTACKER · 4–4
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Blue Jackets
Goaltending
32/36 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
27/31 saves · 4 GA · 2.9 xGA
Allowed 1.1 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.