CBJ
5–2
CGY
Final · W
Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 10-9-3
5–2
FinalW
Calgary Flames
CGY · 12-8-4
1ST2ND3RDT
CBJ
2161929534
CGY
01018111229
goals · shots on goal
First meeting this season — the Blue Jackets lead the season series 1–0
CBJ 10-9-3 · CGY 12-8-4 · First meeting this season — the Blue Jackets lead the season series 1–0
Blue Jackets beat the Flames
Chances were even (2.7 to 2.4 expected goals); the Blue Jackets won 5–2. Dustin Wolf allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 2.7 expected goals to 2.4, on 34 and 29 shots on goal.
CBJ 2.7 xG · 34 shots
CGY 2.4 xG · 29 shots
0
1
2
3
1st
1.4 · 0.7
2nd
0.5 · 0.7
3rd
0.8 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Adam Fantilli · 1st 11:56 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Kent Johnson · 1st 16:42 · 2–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Zach Werenski · 2nd 04:43 · 3–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Blake Coleman · 2nd 14:59 · 3–1 · snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (44%)
5
Adam Fantilli · 3rd 04:46 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 11:00 · 4–2 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Kirill Marchenko · 3rd 18:20 · 5–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blue Jackets win 54.
CBJ 54%CGY 46%
Goals and penalties
7 goals · 0 penalties← Blue Jackets shoot this way
Flames shoot this way →
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Adam Fantilli · 1st 11:56 · PP · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
2
Kent Johnson · 1st 16:42 · 2–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (10%)
3
Zach Werenski · 2nd 04:43 · GWG · 3–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (23%)
4
Blake Coleman · 2nd 14:59 · 3–1
Snap shot on a rebound, a great chance (44%)
5
Adam Fantilli · 3rd 04:46 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (13%)
6
Nazem Kadri · 3rd 11:00 · PP · 4–2
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
7
Kirill Marchenko · 3rd 18:20 · EN · 5–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
27/29 saves · 2 GA · 2.4 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
29/33 saves · 4 GA · 2.7 xGA
Allowed 1.3 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
