Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 16-16-6
4–3
Final / SOW
Carolina Hurricanes
CAR · 22-13-2
1ST2ND3RDOTSOT
CBJ
2100817031428
CAR
11521007030335
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 3 this season — the Blue Jackets lead the season series 2–1
CBJ 16-16-6 · CAR 22-13-2 · Meeting 3 this season — the Blue Jackets lead the season series 2–1
Blue Jackets beat the Hurricanes
The Blue Jackets were outchanced (3.6 to 2.2 expected goals) but won it in a shootout anyway.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
The Hurricanes created the better chances: 3.6 expected goals to 2.2, on 35 and 28 shots on goal.
CBJ 2.2 xG · 28 shots
CAR 3.6 xG · 35 shots
0
1
2
3
4
1st
0.7 · 1.2
2nd · the swing
0.7 · 1.6
3rd
0.4 · 0.5
OT
0.4 · 0.3
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Kirill Marchenko · 1st 04:48 · 1–0 · wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Ty Smith · 1st 09:59 · 1–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Kirill Marchenko · 1st 15:43 · 2–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Jack Roslovic · 2nd 05:47 · 2–2 · tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 2nd 08:18 · 2–3 · backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Dmitri Voronkov · 3rd 04:58 · 3–3 · snap shot, a good chance (15%)
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blue Jackets win 29.
CBJ 29%CAR 71%
Goals and penalties
6 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Kirill Marchenko · 1st 04:48 · 1–0
Wrist shot, a good chance (12%)
2
Ty Smith · 1st 09:59 · PP · 1–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (4%) that found a way in
3
Kirill Marchenko · 1st 15:43 · 2–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (1%) that found a way in
4
Jack Roslovic · 2nd 05:47 · 2–2
Tip in shot, a good chance (10%)
5
Jesperi Kotkaniemi · 2nd 08:18 · 2–3
Backhand shot, a low-percentage shot (10%) that found a way in
6
Dmitri Voronkov · 3rd 04:58 · PP · 3–3
Snap shot, a good chance (15%)
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Shootout
Decided in a shootout — Blue Jackets
Goaltending
32/35 saves · 3 GA · 3.6 xGA
Stopped 0.6 more goals than an average goalie would have.
25/28 saves · 3 GA · 2.2 xGA
Allowed 0.8 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.