Columbus Blue Jackets
CBJ · 19-17-6
6–2
FinalW
Seattle Kraken
SEA · 17-22-3
1ST2ND3RDT
CBJ
1741413624
SEA
11208111231
goals · shots on goal
Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
CBJ 19-17-6 · SEA 17-22-3 · Meeting 2 this season — the season series is tied 1–1
Blue Jackets beat the Kraken
Chances were even (1.7 to 2.2 expected goals); the Blue Jackets won 6–2. Philipp Grubauer allowed 3.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.
Who had the better chances
Expected goals (xG) score every shot by how often shots like it go in: distance, angle, type, rebound, rush. Adding them up shows who created the better chances, whatever the scoreboard says.
Chances were close: 1.7 expected goals to 2.2, on 24 and 31 shots on goal.
CBJ 1.7 xG · 24 shots
SEA 2.2 xG · 31 shots
0
1
2
1st
0.6 · 0.6
2nd
1.0 · 0.6
3rd · the swing
0.1 · 1.0
Tap a numbered goal to see how it happened.
1
Sean Kuraly · 1st 11:58 · 1–0 · tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Eeli Tolvanen · 1st 12:08 · 1–1 · slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Luca Del Bel Belluz · 2nd 03:29 · 2–1 · backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Zach Werenski · 2nd 10:53 · 3–1 · snap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Denton Mateychuk · 2nd 12:27 · 4–1 · wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Kent Johnson · 2nd 15:45 · 5–1 · wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Eeli Tolvanen · 3rd 08:44 · 5–2 · snap shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Kirill Marchenko · 3rd 19:31 · 6–2 · wrist shot, into an empty net
Deserve to winReplay this game 100 times with average goalies and the Blue Jackets win 40.
CBJ 40%SEA 60%
Goals and penalties
8 goals · 0 penalties
On net
Missed
Bigger = better chance
1Goal, numbered to the list
1
Sean Kuraly · 1st 11:58 · 1–0
Tip in shot, a low-percentage shot (7%) that found a way in
2
Eeli Tolvanen · 1st 12:08 · 1–1
Slap shot, a low-percentage shot (5%) that found a way in
3
Luca Del Bel Belluz · 2nd 03:29 · 2–1
Backhand shot, a good chance (14%)
4
Zach Werenski · 2nd 10:53 · GWG · 3–1
Snap shot, a good chance (13%)
5
Denton Mateychuk · 2nd 12:27 · 4–1
Wrist shot, a good chance (15%)
6
Kent Johnson · 2nd 15:45 · 5–1
Wrist shot, a low-percentage shot (3%) that found a way in
7
Eeli Tolvanen · 3rd 08:44 · 5–2
Snap shot, a good chance (11%)
8
Kirill Marchenko · 3rd 19:31 · EN · 6–2
Wrist shot, into an empty net
1st period
2nd period
3rd period
No penalties
Goaltending
29/31 saves · 2 GA · 2.2 xGA
Gave up about what the shots he faced would predict.
14/19 saves · 5 GA · 1.4 xGA
Allowed 3.6 more goals than expected from the shots he faced.